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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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i mean, the fiscal cliff was a friendly family discussion compared to this hatfield/mccoy environment that's unfolding with regard to spending. >> so you think this whole story is going to have some real heart-stopping moments for the markets? >> i think there will be huge consequences. recall that in the summer of 2011 the last time we faced this that the dow went down 1800 points in july and august. now, granted there were some other issues in europe that were a concern. but we could see some serious consequences as a result of these -- this inability to have a discussion on spending cuts. >> i know you're a bond specialist, but apple reducing their iphone orders and so forth. apple fell 3.5% today. $18 to 501. is this apple reduction in ipad orders, is this symbolic of an economy that's getting weaker? >> well, i think so. i think -- well, we have heard some people say that, yes, it's part apple. the company. but also, i think it is symbolic of just people not having enough certainty of what kind of money they will have in the future to spend on items such as what apple offers. >>
i mean, the fiscal cliff was a friendly family discussion compared to this hatfield/mccoy environment that's unfolding with regard to spending. >> so you think this whole story is going to have some real heart-stopping moments for the markets? >> i think there will be huge consequences. recall that in the summer of 2011 the last time we faced this that the dow went down 1800 points in july and august. now, granted there were some other issues in europe that were a concern. but we...
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Jan 17, 2013
01/13
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can that last in this environment? >> i mean look banks have a long way that they fell and they've had a long pathway back to something circa 2006-2007. they sri lankan as a percentage of market gap in the s&p. they are no longer dominant. that's all for the best. we have a much more diversified market. we should. i wouldn't say that the banks need to lead this matter. they've done very well. >> who is going to lead the market? >> i think you'll have a market without leadership but that doesn't mean a market that doesn't go up. you have multiple sectors of strength. technology. be inning to see how amazon does. you have a global economy growing modestly. >> are you worry about apple? >> as a company? no. am i concerned about apple as a stock at 500, i will be glad if we talked less about apple. it's one company amongst many. anybody in silicon valley has to be worried about the fact that their franchise is of extremely short duration. >> boeing. this boeing story is creeping up, getting worse on a daily basis. would yo
can that last in this environment? >> i mean look banks have a long way that they fell and they've had a long pathway back to something circa 2006-2007. they sri lankan as a percentage of market gap in the s&p. they are no longer dominant. that's all for the best. we have a much more diversified market. we should. i wouldn't say that the banks need to lead this matter. they've done very well. >> who is going to lead the market? >> i think you'll have a market without...
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Jan 14, 2013
01/13
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>> in this environment, we're actually asking our clients to think about three things. first we're going to have low interest rates for awhile. so they need to adjust their expected returns. so in a low interest rate environment we're going to have lower returns across all asset classes. second, we're telling our clients that as they think about the lower returns in the context of their portfolios, they also need to recognize that we are going to have volatility from incremental policy on a global basis. whether it's in the u.s., europe, japan or emerging market countries. we are expecting that policy, whether it's monetary policy adjustments, fiscal policy, it will all be incremental. and that will create market pressure because it won't be at a pace that the markets would like to see. so that will introduce volatility. and it's not something our clients should try to trace. they should look over the horizon and invest for the long run. >> looking at the long run, three to five-year term outlook if you look at those expected returns, what's interesting to me is that yo
>> in this environment, we're actually asking our clients to think about three things. first we're going to have low interest rates for awhile. so they need to adjust their expected returns. so in a low interest rate environment we're going to have lower returns across all asset classes. second, we're telling our clients that as they think about the lower returns in the context of their portfolios, they also need to recognize that we are going to have volatility from incremental policy on...
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Jan 19, 2013
01/13
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as we reinvest, the overall low rate of environment is not unusual. we do have offsets in our loan portfolio as our national strategic non-portfolio runs down or winds off. we have an opportunity to invest in higher yield customer oriented relationships, and so we think we've got some stabilizing forces. it's hard to tell exactly how the market reacted in one given day to our net interest margin. but we feel like we've had pretty good management of it and i'm optimistic we'll maintain some stability in a tough environment in 2013. >> your fee income did come in lower than expected, though, both capital markets and mortgage banking. is that just a one-time only? are we going to see a better series of numbers in 2013? >> well, yeah, capital markets is probably the big driver of any up or down movement in our fee income. the fourth quarter was an unusual quarter in a couple of ways. one, you had the impact of hurricane sandy where the markets were closed for a couple of days. we saw average daily revenue in the business drop from about 1.2 to about $1.1
as we reinvest, the overall low rate of environment is not unusual. we do have offsets in our loan portfolio as our national strategic non-portfolio runs down or winds off. we have an opportunity to invest in higher yield customer oriented relationships, and so we think we've got some stabilizing forces. it's hard to tell exactly how the market reacted in one given day to our net interest margin. but we feel like we've had pretty good management of it and i'm optimistic we'll maintain some...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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this company is adapting to the environment in realtime in order to avoid interference and give you the strongest signal possible. ruckus avoids interference and this makes their wi-fi gateways and access points ideal for dense environments like cities or college campuses and because the product is superior, businesses that use ruckus' hardware need to buy fewer wi-fi access points because it covers more area. the overall wi-fi equipment market is expected to grow from $3.4 billion to $8.4 billion in 2016. compound growth, 20% annually. but ruckus is taking share in that market. i believe they would do much better than the average wi-fi planner. getting two-thirds from the wireless networking business, 4% market share. that could go up. the company has ton of success in the schools. universities love to wire themselves up with wi-fi and ruckus gets a third of its enterprise revenues from hotels. they can make their guests pay through the nose for it, right? a third comes from the service provider wi-fi market where internet providers are providing their own wi-fi to their enterprise cus
this company is adapting to the environment in realtime in order to avoid interference and give you the strongest signal possible. ruckus avoids interference and this makes their wi-fi gateways and access points ideal for dense environments like cities or college campuses and because the product is superior, businesses that use ruckus' hardware need to buy fewer wi-fi access points because it covers more area. the overall wi-fi equipment market is expected to grow from $3.4 billion to $8.4...
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Jan 17, 2013
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a stock like citi group, we have in a low growth environment. earning $55 billion of excess capital. 45% of the market gap they can payback. the fed will restrict them in terms of the progress or how quickly they can do it but i would argue it's hard to find a large cap stock that can buy back or pay divisives of 40%, 45% of its market cap. >> kevin good to talk to you. that was for spending some time with us on halftime today. >> appreciate it. >> kevin holt. >>> biggest pops and drop. blackrock is getting a nice pop today. >> company report ad great number. 24 cents above plan. they also announce ad dividend increase better than expected and a buy back. inflows are also being seen. good story. this is the one to own. >> what's going on with lenard. >> i missed this home builder trade. screwed that one up. i'm not of the opinion either of these trade you move to the sidelines. >> netflix. >> netflix looks good too. netflix, big rumor out yesterday about big sellers in the stock. also the announcement that coin star is lunching streaming. >> we
a stock like citi group, we have in a low growth environment. earning $55 billion of excess capital. 45% of the market gap they can payback. the fed will restrict them in terms of the progress or how quickly they can do it but i would argue it's hard to find a large cap stock that can buy back or pay divisives of 40%, 45% of its market cap. >> kevin good to talk to you. that was for spending some time with us on halftime today. >> appreciate it. >> kevin holt. >>>...
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Jan 15, 2013
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against that backdrop, you have a pretty risky environment in the sense that pcs are going through a lot of change right now. so while the valuation of dell stock is pretty darn attractive and i understand the rationale in this low interest rate environment to want to do a deal, because the deal is so large and there's uncertainty around dell's pc core business, i think when push comes to shove, the deal does not get done. >> i want to underscore one of the top rated analysts doesn't think that it's going to happen. shares are moving a little bit higher. stocks almost 23% at this point. obviously had that huge move yesterday. where does that leave the company's future, toni? what are they going to do? >> look, i think the company has been very deliberate in laying out a strategy, which is, we're going to try and move away from pcs. we're going to take our cash and buy companies to try and make us more of an enterprise player. one of the benefits of not going private is you have more degrees of freedom. you don't have to use your cash flow to pay down debt. you can use your cash flow
against that backdrop, you have a pretty risky environment in the sense that pcs are going through a lot of change right now. so while the valuation of dell stock is pretty darn attractive and i understand the rationale in this low interest rate environment to want to do a deal, because the deal is so large and there's uncertainty around dell's pc core business, i think when push comes to shove, the deal does not get done. >> i want to underscore one of the top rated analysts doesn't...
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Jan 17, 2013
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people see a generally positive environment for those stocks. i think lmomentum continues there. >> you are seeing flows into materials and technology, but a flo flow out of staples and health care, correct? >> it's clear as day. for etf investors, all risk on and out of risk off. we've seen a billion dollars flow out of telecom, utilities and a couple billion dollars flow into the risk on sectors like materials, industrials and tech. that's where investors are placing their bets for this earnings season. at least etf investors and so far it's paid off. >> matt, it's tim. how about the etfs that correspond to treasury movements last year, this was a trade that everybody got on, because everybody assumed rates had to go higher eventually. where are people lining up in this? this ite >> we should look very closely as what investors are doing in the bond space. i think they are taking a hands off approach. they are certainly shortening their duration and they are actually outsourcing their active management into funds like bond. we are seeing those
people see a generally positive environment for those stocks. i think lmomentum continues there. >> you are seeing flows into materials and technology, but a flo flow out of staples and health care, correct? >> it's clear as day. for etf investors, all risk on and out of risk off. we've seen a billion dollars flow out of telecom, utilities and a couple billion dollars flow into the risk on sectors like materials, industrials and tech. that's where investors are placing their bets...
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Jan 18, 2013
01/13
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but we had to adjust to the environment we're in right now. that's what we're dealing with. >> where would you say the net flow is now between morgan stanley brokers and merrill brokers right now? who's winning? are you -- you added more? have they -- and are you -- are you in an aggressive mode right now in terms of offering them increased compensation to come to morgan stanley, or -- >> i'm going to give you an answer which may be a little counterintuitive. the person who's winning might be the one who's actually losing on net flow. in other words, there are some very aggressive recruiting packages out there. anybody can go out and spend money -- >> in the past -- >> spend money and buy talent. do you want us just buying talent? >> i don't know. where are you now in terms of totals? >> we're over 16,500. i forget exactly. i think merrill -- you know, honestly, i don't even know. >> ubs is a big player. >> well, ubs is very different. they're a global private bank doesn't have brokers, has private bankers. the domestic business which is the o
but we had to adjust to the environment we're in right now. that's what we're dealing with. >> where would you say the net flow is now between morgan stanley brokers and merrill brokers right now? who's winning? are you -- you added more? have they -- and are you -- are you in an aggressive mode right now in terms of offering them increased compensation to come to morgan stanley, or -- >> i'm going to give you an answer which may be a little counterintuitive. the person who's...
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Jan 21, 2013
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the bank of japan, if you monetize the debt in a low inflationary environment, is this a free lunch? >> right. >> in the uk, it has turned out to be a free lunch. would it in japan? possibly, yes, and, therefore, i wonder if these issues ever will be addressed. >> and what's so interesting, you're seeing these bizarre rates happening in a monetary policy. we feel like we're in a whole new regime where people feel like it doesn't matter at all. wondering if it matters at all how much you spend and borrow in these situations. how does it change, if at all your strategy from here? >> it makes having a long-term strategy really, really tough. and you can see that in the markets right now. what people see by more investment, it gets pushed into treasuries, into eks, and we see markets trading at very elevated levels. relative to fundamentals appears to become the norm. and i would argue that we're now in a world where it's very difficult to recruit any decent returns. as a result, as investors, we're going to have to live with that. >> and a lot of people are just closing up shop and sayi
the bank of japan, if you monetize the debt in a low inflationary environment, is this a free lunch? >> right. >> in the uk, it has turned out to be a free lunch. would it in japan? possibly, yes, and, therefore, i wonder if these issues ever will be addressed. >> and what's so interesting, you're seeing these bizarre rates happening in a monetary policy. we feel like we're in a whole new regime where people feel like it doesn't matter at all. wondering if it matters at all...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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the low-ends retail environment is more competitive. they have to become more promotional, code word for more discounts. in order to hold their own, they vo have to put real pressure on margins. the higher payroll taxes on consumers, it's very hard to make the case that dollar stores can be owned here. it's true companies have big long-term growth stories, and they have to expand store base around the country. that's not a reason to buy them as long as existing stores have so much trouble. at this point, dollar stores may be too cheap to go much lower, dollar tree sells 14 times earnings, and when their historical multipliers are higher, however, there is no catalyst that can get that multiple to expand. no catalyst to drive this stock higher, and that makes buying them frankly a big no-no. you said to me, jim, give me something in the space. you want something in the space? i say go with cramer fave five below. five for you home gamers. i've been a big fan of this company since it became public in july, and -- philadelphia based and if
the low-ends retail environment is more competitive. they have to become more promotional, code word for more discounts. in order to hold their own, they vo have to put real pressure on margins. the higher payroll taxes on consumers, it's very hard to make the case that dollar stores can be owned here. it's true companies have big long-term growth stories, and they have to expand store base around the country. that's not a reason to buy them as long as existing stores have so much trouble. at...
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Jan 18, 2013
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the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california. we'll show a table and what this table says is texas 2011 exports, $251 billion in second place california at $159 billion. that is very impressive. hears what i like the most. go to the next table. it is easy. when i first heard it i said it's obvious because california doesn't maximize natural resources because of the green component. has such a large lobby and presence in california. even if you extract all the exports petroleum and coal products that still leaves you around 200 billion. you're still blowing the competition away. >> yep. isn't that nice? we also have great trading partners in mexico and canada and we send a lot of parts to the factories which are tremendous engine of growth for mexico. so our number one trading partner is mexico followed by canada and the
the main thing is capital will flee a hostile environment. if i were a risk taking entrepreneur in california i would be thinking about heading east to texas. >> i feel a bit dumb because i had no idea of the export power of texas. i probably would have picked california. we'll show a table and what this table says is texas 2011 exports, $251 billion in second place california at $159 billion. that is very impressive. hears what i like the most. go to the next table. it is easy. when i...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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treasury, and that type of environment where dividends are going to grow 10% this year, that can be a good backdrop on stocks like ford that developed its dividend last week, lowe's on the home improvement side and dresser injuries and transindustries. >> with all due respect, jpmorgan out yesterday saying that maybe the dividend play is last year's play and maybe now is the time to get into riskier assets in equities because they feel like the economy is going to start to pick up. so you're sticking with the dividend play though? >> i am. for these two reasons. one, bill, the growth of dividends is the story. not the absolute yield. it's the growth in dividends and that can be names like qualcomm, apple, ford is my example. second. when investors look much like 1994 and 1999, when interest rates went higher, the ten-year treasury was yielding, was returning minus 3% for those two calendar years. people will come back to the stock market, but they will come back to the stock market in the safer yield and dividend-growing stories. that is why i think the catalyst for david dents will s
treasury, and that type of environment where dividends are going to grow 10% this year, that can be a good backdrop on stocks like ford that developed its dividend last week, lowe's on the home improvement side and dresser injuries and transindustries. >> with all due respect, jpmorgan out yesterday saying that maybe the dividend play is last year's play and maybe now is the time to get into riskier assets in equities because they feel like the economy is going to start to pick up. so...
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Jan 14, 2013
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in this regulatory environment that's not a good place to be. james foreman's move into retail and other sector so i think that's a meaningful shift for them. >> is the regulatory environment too tight? >> in some number of areas, yes. in some others, no. so i can actually say mixed answer. in a lot of dodd-frank has to do with things that had nothing to do with the financial crisis. you may remember one of the first laws actually implemented where they wrote the language was debit fees. they capped debit fees. that had nothing to do with anything around the financial crisis. on the other hand things like the volcker rule and others, they're still working on them, and i think there should be some good regulation around capital risk taking, and such, on the trading desks. that's still to come. >> the other big banking wall street news this week is jamie diamond and jpmorgan, i don't know if you follow this, but the london whale, the board, is going to be potentially releasing an internal report on what happened. if you were on the board would you
in this regulatory environment that's not a good place to be. james foreman's move into retail and other sector so i think that's a meaningful shift for them. >> is the regulatory environment too tight? >> in some number of areas, yes. in some others, no. so i can actually say mixed answer. in a lot of dodd-frank has to do with things that had nothing to do with the financial crisis. you may remember one of the first laws actually implemented where they wrote the language was debit...
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Jan 15, 2013
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this is a very good credit environment. but that is a huge amount of financing for an lbo. in fact we haven't seen something like that since the financial crisis, and you're not buying into a great road story here. you're not buying into energy. you're buying into dell. basically the banks would be asked to do a bet on the personal computer market. >> dan, the second piece of this, as i think about it, though, is this idea that you're actually going back to the club deal, right? you're having two firms club up, and now with something that was, almost, i thought it was now a relic of the 2007, '06, '05 and people were no longer going to do that, at best, they were going to partner potentially with their own limited partners like the pension funds but not necessarily together to fund themselves. >> yeah, and it's particularly interesting that tpg is involved in this. one of the biggest private equity firms in the world but they might have some troubles fund-raising next time out. their performance hasn't been good the last two funds. one of the things they've been telling the
this is a very good credit environment. but that is a huge amount of financing for an lbo. in fact we haven't seen something like that since the financial crisis, and you're not buying into a great road story here. you're not buying into energy. you're buying into dell. basically the banks would be asked to do a bet on the personal computer market. >> dan, the second piece of this, as i think about it, though, is this idea that you're actually going back to the club deal, right? you're...
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Jan 16, 2013
01/13
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in the near term, overall performance of the pc client group is key to understanding the overall environment. but for the stock, the company's full year guidance, which we expect to hear, probably matters more so i'll be watching that. longer term, analysts need better evidence that intel really can gain ground in tablets and smartphones where so far, chip giant just hasn't made a dent. back to you. >> thank you for that, jon fortt. the other issue is inventory. that's been rising as a percent of revenues since the third quarter of last year. and that is -- they have to scale back production in order to cut back the inventory. >> they are so poorly positioned in the tablet space, tabletting are destroying laptops right now. if you talk about emerging market growth, it's again, back to that apple story. it's as a much lower gross margin. intel guided gross margins to 57%. that's the lowest since q-3 2009. i don't think it's a good press. it just rallied 10% off the november lows, but it's kind of in no man's land. you really need to get a sense how they are positioned. don't forget, they are
in the near term, overall performance of the pc client group is key to understanding the overall environment. but for the stock, the company's full year guidance, which we expect to hear, probably matters more so i'll be watching that. longer term, analysts need better evidence that intel really can gain ground in tablets and smartphones where so far, chip giant just hasn't made a dent. back to you. >> thank you for that, jon fortt. the other issue is inventory. that's been rising as a...
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Jan 16, 2013
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i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim cramer and david faber at the new york stock exchange. stocks had a pretty nice day yesterday. the s&p closed at five-year highs. we are looking to the down decide this morning. the dow looking to lose about 62 at the open. the picture in europe, a couple of downgrades for gdp forecasts from both the german government and world bank. italy is down by 1.5%. road map this morning starts off with the banks and earnings. jpmorgan higher. goldman sachs at 18-month highs. >> japan airlines grounding their entire dreamliner fleet. >>> dell shares falling this morning after david faber reports that a deal could be announced within two weeks, but at a price of 13.50 or
i think that the financial story and economic story is saying this is not the kind of financial environment that leads to rapid growth. >> interesting. >> okay. >> you tied it in to dell and jpmorgan and everything else. excellent. larry, thank you. >> my pleasure. >> join us tomorrow. "squawk on the street" begins right now. >>> good wednesday morning. welcome to "squawk on the street." i'm melissa lee with carl quintanilla, and jim...
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Jan 17, 2013
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i actually feel the environment is still tough, maybe getting more friendlives can i ask you about the rally we've had generally? it's notable that goldman sachs has outperformed both the ac and citi with an 18% rise in the stock over the last month. today, of course, you downgraded goldman sachs in the light of that move. where are you on the sort of share price movement that is we might see in those three and oats moves forward? >> to see additional up side in a broker dealing, you have to see the economy get better. that could happen. i'm hoping it will happened. i'm just not sure if this is the time to put new money into goldman sachs, if we're sure not sure that will play its way out. it's just a matter of, how long does it take for the uncertainty to get out of the way, so companies can get back to making acquisitions. >> jeff, do people give you a hard time when you cut the ratings and yet boost the price targets? that gets made fun of a lot. >> yeah, we do get some for it. the price target increase, it's very form layically driven. what our pick it into our what it's done over
i actually feel the environment is still tough, maybe getting more friendlives can i ask you about the rally we've had generally? it's notable that goldman sachs has outperformed both the ac and citi with an 18% rise in the stock over the last month. today, of course, you downgraded goldman sachs in the light of that move. where are you on the sort of share price movement that is we might see in those three and oats moves forward? >> to see additional up side in a broker dealing, you have...
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Jan 17, 2013
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and then the mortgage re-phi boom in this interest rate environment has been a boom in the past couple of years. those are going to expire at some point. with interest rates where they are, it's difficult for the banks on margin. there's no question the banking system is much stronger, earning better and is has much higher capital and liquidity than it's had probably forever almost. >> you know, well, that's quite a statement because there's a lot of people who would still say banks shouldn't necessarily be turning around and handing capital back to shareholderses. would you agree that given the improvements we've made, it's time for them to be allowed to go forward? >> i think that the banks have accumulated so much capital and that they really don't have a good use for it in light of the lack of qualified loan demand. i'm not saying lack of loan demand because there's a lot of loan demand. but the credit standards are much higher and you don't have much to do with the capital. so you have to give it back if you don't need it. i'm talking about toous banks. it's not true around the wo
and then the mortgage re-phi boom in this interest rate environment has been a boom in the past couple of years. those are going to expire at some point. with interest rates where they are, it's difficult for the banks on margin. there's no question the banking system is much stronger, earning better and is has much higher capital and liquidity than it's had probably forever almost. >> you know, well, that's quite a statement because there's a lot of people who would still say banks...
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Jan 18, 2013
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cost structure, looking at technology, looking at taking out costs and everything because that is the environment when the i.t. budgets are much flatter. so from that point, we were looking quite good so far as we get into the next year. >> and last question, what do you think this company will look like in calm of years time? it's been through so many transformations, changing business over the years. is this going to be a company that is still heavily focused on i.t. services as you divest some of the other parts of the business? what do you think this will actually look like in, say, 2015? >> clearly, you've been clearly focused on i.t. services, we had the demerger announcement last quarter and we are progressing very well. so as we exhibit this for the calendar or near or on that, we should be able to be done in terms of activity. which means if we're limited now, it will contain only the products and services in the geography. services are globally. it will focus more and more in terms of momentum as we identify with the life sciences, energy, natural resources, liquidities all in terms of
cost structure, looking at technology, looking at taking out costs and everything because that is the environment when the i.t. budgets are much flatter. so from that point, we were looking quite good so far as we get into the next year. >> and last question, what do you think this company will look like in calm of years time? it's been through so many transformations, changing business over the years. is this going to be a company that is still heavily focused on i.t. services as you...
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Jan 14, 2013
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itself, when you've got growth and you've got employment opportunity, you've got income growth and environment of very low interest rate is headache to policymaker in which i think the government here continue to have to fine tunemakers every now and then essentially because after they tighten one time, they quiet down the market, but i comes back again because the liquidity flows remain strong. so whether this is the measures toned all measures remains to be seen, i think if the interest rate remains low, we may see further tightening after a period of quiet. i suppose contemplation, i think. >> stick right there. we also want to take a look at what is happening over in india. we're seeing mixed pictures on inflation. headline inflation slowed to its lowest level in three years, in fact. that was up about 7.2% from a year earlier and well shy of expectations. some say the lower than expected wpi fueled the rate cut from india. does this mean 25 basis point rate cuts and more to come? >> well, there's firm pressure from the politicians on the central bankers to do so. the growth is still rathe
itself, when you've got growth and you've got employment opportunity, you've got income growth and environment of very low interest rate is headache to policymaker in which i think the government here continue to have to fine tunemakers every now and then essentially because after they tighten one time, they quiet down the market, but i comes back again because the liquidity flows remain strong. so whether this is the measures toned all measures remains to be seen, i think if the interest rate...
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Jan 15, 2013
01/13
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the group struck a down beat note warning that the global environment would remain challenging. let's take a look at shares. they are trading up nearly 4% in trade in london, up better than 7% in the last seven days. what's interesting, too, this is a company that last year just in talking about chinese sales saw shares get walked. >> after a really big run. there was a lot built into expectation owes that. >> this time, investors seemed happy about beating the last time. >> meantime, the 2% drop for same-store sales for h&m showed total sales up 8% last month, outperforming stims estimates. >>> coming up, we'll take a closer look at burberry with. >> inny carlisle, joining out at so is 10:45 a.m. central european time. set your alarm clock. >> something even more important is going on. for all of those who like a strong pint of bitter, the british beermaker has announced that it is reducing the alcohol content in its ale because of rising costs and lower demand. apparently watered down beer allows the parent company, heineken, to pay a lower rate of duty. so they're going to re
the group struck a down beat note warning that the global environment would remain challenging. let's take a look at shares. they are trading up nearly 4% in trade in london, up better than 7% in the last seven days. what's interesting, too, this is a company that last year just in talking about chinese sales saw shares get walked. >> after a really big run. there was a lot built into expectation owes that. >> this time, investors seemed happy about beating the last time. >>...
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Jan 16, 2013
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the question people ask is, can we see anything from the fourth quarter that will tell us what the environment in 2013 is like. i guess my answer to that would still be no. fiscal cliff issues, europe, the election, tropical storms, et cetera, and there's still no real clarity on what the business models, investment banking are going to look like as we head toward three. it's going to be much better numbers than a year ago. numbers are going to be slightly down versus the third quarter. and -- to my mind, there's still really nothing we'll be able to take away from the numbers in terms of -- >> which is frustrating because we're at a time when we are trying to re-evaluate what the model is going to be, what earnings will look like going forward. in your view, what is -- what is the investment case for these investment banks today? >> well, the investment case for an investment bank is that when they work very well, they are extremely capital -- if i advise a company and get a fee for ecm or m&a deal, it requires no capital, and i get a lot of money. that's very attractive. the second thing is
the question people ask is, can we see anything from the fourth quarter that will tell us what the environment in 2013 is like. i guess my answer to that would still be no. fiscal cliff issues, europe, the election, tropical storms, et cetera, and there's still no real clarity on what the business models, investment banking are going to look like as we head toward three. it's going to be much better numbers than a year ago. numbers are going to be slightly down versus the third quarter. and --...